Android is Becoming a Lame, Handset OEM-Proprietary OS – Watch WinPhone!

01.19.2012

Adrian Kingsley-Hughes recently wrote about how the smartphone OS wars are shaping up and mentioned that Android looks like it is in trouble. The graphic to the left is beginning to tell a story.

I will go further and predict that Android is going to continue to wane and shrink. Where I disagree with you Adrian is that Windows Phone is going to emerge powerfully in ’12 – ’13. The smartphone OS battle is long from being decided, and MSFT is best positioned to pick up share. The numbers may not be great yet, but there are reasons why that will change.

For all the iPhones out there, there are X million blackberry and other handsets that are controlled by corporate IT departments; many companies aren’t even putting corporate data on smartphones yet in any significant way otherwise for security reasons and the fact that apps need to be ported to mobile OSes. Many are still waiting to see what MSFT does.

Once WinPhone comes out on more desirable handsets, corporate IT will offer them as options, and, coupled with its integration with Win 8 server, its xBox control capability(which is becoming a cable box this year in a big way), it is going to become a juggernaut. While (Andriod) ICS is a strong step in the right direction, it is struggling on even the Xoom tablet and Galaxy Nexus with respect to app stability. No one wants to use apps that are unstable. Version Hell is a very real Android phenomenon.

WinPhone desperately needs more storage or seamless cloud storage to offer a combined 64 GB of storage (or 32 GB onboard plus 25 GB SkyDrive which is close) to be a serious competitor. Hopefully Nokia and HTC will wake up and realize they will be better off with better spec’ed WinPhones.

Facebook Study Claims Validation is Chief Driver…Not Feeling it.

01.18.2012

Authors claim their recent review of literature regarding Facebook Usage Reveals Validation is Chief Reason for Use, But People are Generally Healthier than That.

I have to say, this particular argument for why people use Facebook is really tired, and based on the (IMHO) antiquated concept that overemphasizes the importance of “belonging” as a significant driver for meaning. It is the same anthropology that dismisses faith in God as stemming from the same place. But I digress.

This is also only a literature review (no primary research) and it seems to come from 2009 sources. Lots has happened in the Soc Media world since 2009. Its like talking about the stock market without mentioning mortgage backed securities and TARP.

Facebook usage is far too widespread and its user base way too diverse to draw these kinds of conclusions. A full sixth of the planet is on Facebook and 50% visits daily. That is unfathomable, and no one would have ever predicted it.

Most important, Facebook offers people a way to be MORE efficient with their relationships. These days, for those in a person’s tight circle, a wall post is etiquette for letting them know about important things, much easier than blast email or dialing for dollars. For people like me who only have about 450 friends and acquaintances, it helps me stay in touch with some folks lightly, and others know about everything they post. It is easier to manage more relationships with Facebook.

Finally, it is a permanent address. You can move as many times as you want and change all your contact info, and you are still reachable via Facebook. It is the Uber Persistent Yellow Pages. That in and of itself is more important than being validated by Like buttons.

That said, we do not need more social networks, other than certain special interest ones. Google+ is baffling to me. If you don’t trust Facebook, how do you EVER in God’s name trust Google with your info? They would sell their mom’s molars for cash.

Interesting, but I disagree. What do you think?

If You Can’t Trust Zuckerberg, You Can’t Trust Anyone

01.15.2012
After Listening to Mark Zuckerberg for some time, it is obvious we can all learn something here.

I have had my Facebook page for some time now, and have been watching the young CEO receive a significant amount of fame, money and power in a very short period of time. I even saw the movie and really enjoyed it (as an entrepreneur, it was very energizing). The character I saw in the movie was nothing like the individual I have been watching in interviews and in the media. Maybe he isn’t the smoothest operator in interviews, but he is the real item.

As we learned from Spiderman several years ago, “along with great power comes great responsibility”. This, in fact, is what Mr. Zuckerberg owns and carries with an ease that I have not witnessed among men for some time. This is no exaggeration. He has had a devotion to all the right values and ideals when you are talking about what it means to operate a business with such significant influence.

  • He is committed to the social experience. First and foremost, he wants to mirror how people interact with each other in person.
  • He jealously guards open infrastructure and wants to enable entrepreneurs.
  • He is not chasing after the most lucrative option (they would be public already if that were so).
  • He is more interested in Facebook itself than who it makes him or how much it makes for him.

For the man who owns most of the website where 250 million people use it every day, these are important values.

I can’t help thinking about Bill Gates when I think of Zuckerberg. While Bill Gates was an aggressive business man when it came to protecting his Windows base and through bringing more and more functionality into the operating system, Bill Gates has always been a committed proponent of collaborative computing and what contribution his operating system could make to society as well. It is his largest contribution to the world (aside from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation).

(Update) Mark was raised Jewish, but most of what we find online seems to indicate he claims to be an atheist. While a disappointment for me personally, it would be my hope he would correct this to say he is agnostic, as atheism is extremely unreasonable (it makes a claim that you can know for sure there is no God which makes no sense at all).

He may be surprised to find out many of the values he is committed to are important to God as well.

What do you think? Do you think I am fooled, or do you agree? Do you think he is like Gates in this context?

CES 2012 Day 1: Cool Stuff and Who Came Up Short

01.10.2012

CES 2012 Day 1 – Tech Shows No Signs of Slowing

Day 1 of CES 2012 was nearly impossible to reach the levels to which it was promoted (OK, hyped). But there was still a ton of great stuff to get pretty excited about. Among the things that were notable (from companies big and small in no particular order):

  • An incredible 55″ OLED 3D display from LG, the best standard HD image at the show
  • A nearly equally impressive 84″ 4K passive 3D display that was literally breathtaking (yes, even after following tech so closely)
  • An 8K (yes, full 7680 x 4320, astounding) display from sharp that measured 85″ large and was insanely clear (no word on when we may see one in the wild)
  • The announcement of the Nokia 900 to debut on AT&T’s 4G LTE network “in the coming months”.  Featuring a 4.3 inch display and LTE, it only has 16GB of storage and a single core processor.  It really needs more space.  However, it is still a very impressive handset.
  • A new automobile mount from a new company that was very impressive, along with a clever camera case which enabled the shooting of video while holding the phone horizontally

Check out our first video of our visit to the event, and stay tuned for more to come!  We will be posting more with respect to Microsoft, healthcare technologies and Sony as the week finishes out.

CES 2012 Coverage: Land of Opportunity or What Never Happens Tech?

01.8.2012

Someone read my initial byline and immediately thought, “That isn’t true, most things that show up initially at CES eventually hit the market”. True. But then again, many of the things that hit CES hit the wall in the markets.

We are heading out this year to make some sense of the general direction, and look for signs that the past trends of product introductions and big focal points of CES having not been the market successes that everyone hoped for is a thing of the past.

One thing is for sure; Microsoft is in a good place. Kinect, a big highlight product at CES last year, has done extremely well. The tech giant is well positioned for 2012. We are excited to see what else they are bringing to Vegas.

Follow us this week as we post videos and what we think is the best of what is coming and not just more of the same.

Focus Groups or IDIs? An Excellent Article Offers Insight

12.27.2011
As has happened since the genesis of marketing research, people like to talk up what they know.  The problem is, this serves your clients’ purposes only when your flavor is what they need.

Bottom line, both are important, and both have their best use cases.  Each are indispensable when they are needed.  Some are absolutely unacceptable when contraindicated (a scenario not mentioned is when your client’s targets  are competitors in their market, it is tough to sit in a room with your competitors and talk about your strategic plans).

The article is here for your review, taken from Quirk’s December issue.

Qualitatively Speaking: The focus group vs. in-depth interview debate

By Carey V. Azzara

If  debate is healthy, you might describe the debate over qualitative methods as positively athletic. There are plenty of opinions regarding which qualitative approach provides the best results. You, no doubt, have your own opinion.

To explore the reasons professionals feel strongly about the merits of focus groups (FGs) versus in-depth interviews (IDIs), we asked 20 of them when and why they choose to use FGs versus IDIs. The themes that emerged from our asynchronous debate process are illuminating.

In general, there were three, somewhat predictable, positions: one-on-one interviews are superior to focus groups; focus groups are superior to one-on-one interviews; align the research approach with the research objectives.

Each person who took one of the first two positions gave well-thought-out reasons for his or her choice. It typically related to the specific research problem they faced. Another reason for a preference was skill. Practicing what you know how to do best makes sense. Many professionals are better at one approach than another; this factor obviously plays a role in the choices practitioners make.

Aligning the approach with the objectives was an overarching theme even among professionals who strongly favor one technique over the other. Thus, our next questions are, what are the “when and why” answers experts gave? And, can we create a concise best-practice statement from the collective wisdom of 20 practitioners?

Arguments for in-depth interviews

IDIs provide the best opportunity to explore decisions and compare differences and similarities among reference group members. When the research objective is to understand individual decision processes or individual responses to marketing stimuli (e.g., Web sites) IDIs are typically the choice. IDIs allow detailed exploration of a single respondent’s reactions without contamination. They are particularly valuable when researchers want individual reactions placed in the context of the individual’s experiences.

A preference for IDIs is likely when group interactions are unimportant or detrimental. A few scenarios are:

• when it is easier to reach target respondents with IDIs;

• when there is a better cost-benefit for IDIs;

• when it is preferable to collect responses without the group influence factor;

• when probing and/or laddering techniques are part of the data collection process;

• when project objectives require a direct correspondence of specific findings to specific respondent segments; and/or

• when a device or process is being tested for usability.

Additionally, if the topic is highly sensitive (e.g., serious illnesses) use of IDIs is indicated. Subjects which are highly personal (e.g., bankruptcy) or very detailed (e.g., divorce decrees) are best probed deeply with IDIs.

Sensitive subjects are also a factor in business research. Topics with competitive consequences are sensitive areas (for example, companies consider information-technology practices proprietary, especially security technology). In addition, businesses are wary of participating in FGs with competitors (such as when participants are from the same vertical industry, etc.).

A preference for IDIs was evident when:

• working with small populations, especially if geographically-dispersed;

• avoiding operational pitfalls is a concern (e.g., the threat of 60 percent of a group cancelling or possibly inviting the wrong people; it’s easier to recover from one bad-fit IDI than a FG with eight people); and

• you need deep layers of information from probing (e.g., interviewing “experts”).

In the final analysis IDIs are a practical approach and typically easier to manage. However, it’s important to distinguish between the ease-of-use factor versus the better-approach factor!

Arguments for focus groups

Several versions of the following comment were typical: “My rule of thumb is to assume focus groups and switch to IDIs only if necessary.” A basic question is, “Will the group dynamics add to the findings?”

There are triggers to suggest when to do groups versus using other qualitative approaches. FGs are particularly compelling:

• when consensus or debate is required to explore disparate views;

• to generate opportunities for point-counterpoint discussion and resolution;

• as an excellent approach for broad, exploratory topics, and as a mechanism for helping people generate and share their ideas;

• when the interaction between the participants sparks a discussion that illuminates a topic, draws out latent issues;

• when you want people to work in teams;

• when the rich quality of respondent interactions is needed or you are exploring common trends; and/or

• when you are early in the exploration of a concept or topic, as group dynamics are powerful in the discovery process.

Focus groups have an advantage when trying to engage clients (decision-makers) in the research process. When research sponsors take time to view focus groups it expedites their buy-in, moving the study to final recommendations faster. You are less likely to “lose” your client in the course of two or four hours compared to the time associated with IDIs. For some practitioners focus groups were preferred when speed is important, but apply caution here: advocates of IDIs use this argument too. FG practitioners believe IDIs take longer to execute than FGs and are harder and more time-consuming to analyze.

Focus groups of no more than eight respondents was a recommendation echoed by several practitioners. Triads and mini-groups were suggested as alternatives for generating ideas while allowing in-depth questioning. Mini-groups are well-suited to obtaining reactions to product stimuli and generating refinements. Contrary to most opinions, sensitive issues are not only okay in groups, but may be explored as well as or better than in IDIs, because respondents engage when discussing their condition or issue with others in the same boat.

Finally, the statement, “I favor the group situation; people are forthcoming among peers when attention is focused on many rather than one,” depicts a popular position.

Two themes

Two themes emerged that we can use to construct a best-practice statement. The first is characterized by the mantra, “Objectives drive design.” Evaluate critically the research objectives and apply the approach most likely to provide insights. A good practitioner chooses the best method for the work and the selection process requires understanding the merits of all available approaches.

A key question is whether the objectives are individual in nature (e.g., decisions, preferences, usability) or group-oriented and benefit from participants’ discussion or perhaps arguments (e.g., concept exploration).

The second theme is summarized by the simple comment, “Why not use both?” Designing qualitative research using IDIs and FGs provides the best of both worlds – and it’s not a cop-out! IDIs provide depth of questioning and personal information while FGs help us understand the social context of issues. The methods are complementary.

For business decision makers, combining the benefits of IDIs and FGs is a great solution if the budget supports it. In fact, perhaps the only real argument against this approach is concern about exceeding a project’s budget.

Mobile Payment Market to Reach $670B in ‘15

09.2.2011

Like Ron Burgundy, this is kind of a big deal.  This is going to help people spend money more easily and create new opportunities for employment. 

If I was in the retail business (and we are, indirectly!) I would like this.

The global mobile payment market, consisting of digital and physical goods purchases, near field communications (NFC) and mobile money transfers, will be worth $670 billion in 2015, according to a July 2011 white paper from Juniper Research. Data from “Mobile Money Goes Mainstream” indicates this figure will be more than double current levels.

Regardless of who is right here, it is going to be big.  I agree.  What do you think?

McAfee: Malware on Android on the Rise…We Knew it was Coming…

08.23.2011

Several months ago I posted on the dangers of the diversified flavors of Android running on so many phones and how the experience that Microsoft has with malware will be a huge leg up for them as they see greater adoption of WP7 Mango. Alternatively, Google’s lack of focus on the OS (coupled with their diminishing commitment due to their lack of patent protection Here is McAfee affirming our fears:

http://www.zdnet.com/blog/btl/mcafee-malware-surging-on-mobile-platforms-especially-android/55537?tag=nl.e539

They use the word “surging”; I think they haven’t seen anything yet:

Because of the rapid escalation, McAfee has dubbed this situation as a “Malware Zoo,” as McAfee researchers predict that the the grand total of total malware samples will reach at least 75 million by the end of 2011. The total currently stands at approximately 65 million.

Unfortunately for Google, they are caught in a big downdraft. While their purchase of Motorola Mobility’s patents is a good step in the right direction, it may be too little too late.

Things can change very quickly in the world of mobile OSes; PalmOS (and now WebOS) are going the way of the DoDo these days, something very few would have predicted. Maybe Google+ will be their saving grace. Please share what you think below.

Windows Phone 7 Coming to Verizon May 26…Worth Looking At?

05.19.2011


I have been very excited about the prospects of Windows Phone 7 since it was first talked about my Microsoft.  With the OS coming to Verizon very soon, I now have to decide to try or wait.

In the Smartphone OS battle, no other company is better prepared than MSFT for the greater market forces which will begin to shift the landscape as corporations shift away from Blackberry toward better integrated OSes.  Throw Nokia’s footprint into the mix, and you have a pretty compelling story for why MS will carve out a good sized chunk of the smartphone market.

While I am on AT&T currently with my iPhone 4, I have moved partially to Verizon since my wife and daughter have tons of trouble with dropped calls on AT&T (I don’t have as many problems, but maybe I have just gotten used to it).  They love their iPhone 4s.  So I am now considering a Verizon phone, and definitely wanted to move from iOS to WP7 (moving to Android gives me nothing since I don’t use Google Apps, Gmail, Google*, etc., I am a business user who cares about music and movies).

Now I hear the HTC Trophy is coming to Verizon May 26; I may just try one out to see how well it works and maybe keep one, although I am sure about the validity of the limitations I have read:

  • Does it really only have 8 GB of memory and is upgradeable?
  • No front facing camera…in fact, does WP7 even support front facing cameras yet?
  • Is Verizon’s data network fast enough (my iPad 2 is on Verizon and it is definitely slower than AT&T)

I will post if I pick one up and let you know…in the meantime, please feel free to post and let me know what you may be thinking…

A Beautiful One-Page Layout of iPhone 5 Could-Be’s…

04.3.2011

This is one very cool and very nice looking view of what could or should or may or may not (take your pick) be part of the new, upcoming iPhone 5, complete with some nice looking images…be sure to scroll down…

http://www.nowhereelse.fr/iphone-5-43523/

We need Microsoft in the Smartphone OS battle. One word: Malware.

02.8.2011

Cybercriminals transitioning from email, surging on smartphone platforms in 2011

One of the big drawbacks that comes with owning over 90% of the personal computer marketplace is that you become everyone’s target. Not just Larry Ellison’s or Scott McNeely’s, but everyone.

The openness of Windows led to it being exploited in a huge way, causing millions of dollars to need be spent on software to eliminate the threat. For the most part, it worked and things are certainly better. But one additional benefit that has come through is experience. Microsoft has a ton of it. Google has not nearly enough.

This will produce big problems for Android in 2011. And thus, the other company who has a promising OS for smartphones with more experience than all the other OS companies combined, Microsoft, will benefit from this experience and the exploitation of Android. As networks scramble to lock down their networks and their versions of Andriod, Windows Phone 7 will come ready to defend itself.

Agree, disagree? Tell me what is on your mind…

CES’s Big Takeaways…This Changes Everything All Over Again

01.21.2011

After 2 Days at CES, A Few Things Are Clear

This year’s CES was a ton of fun. While I have been a technology nerd for a long time (and have been excited about the possibilities of technology for too long), this is the year that has really made it clear that mobile devices and 3D television are going to wind up in a record number of homes and businesses. Amid a mountain of iPhone and iPad bling cases, earbuds made to look like rosary beads (advertised by a girl dancing in hot pants and a skimpy top paradoxically) and manufacturer booths staffed by non-english speakers which was sometimes maddening, there were come clear messages being communicated overall that are important to understand. While some of this may be a big no brainer for those who eagerly wait for the rumor mills to churn out their content on new devices and network developments (like me), hopefully it will still offer some food for thought for those who are in the business and offer some useful insights for those who are watching from afar.

You know, the folks who still have feature phones.

So, in no particular order, here are a few of the developments that I think are truly important for the next year (and maybe longer):

3D TV is Coming, and You Can Invite All Your Friends. Active Shutter Technology will be Over Soon.

Stepping into the LG booth (or zipcode) it was one of the first things to hit you; a passive 3D TV that knocked my socks off. You put on the glasses, you watch the screen, and you have the same great 3D experience, but you want to leave the glasses on. Sure, I have heard all the arguments; it isn’t really 1080p, its really interlaced with alternating lines offering the 3D image its integrity. Guess what? It didn’t matter. The image quality was right up there with anything else I saw at the show (and that includes the Panasonic units in all their grandeur) and still, I wanted to leave the glasses on.

No one is going to pay for the active glasses with this going on. On top of that, active shutter can be really uncomfortable (for me it is really uncomfortable), and no one wants to fight nausea while they watch Avatar. I predict active shutter will go away within 2 years, once Panasonic and Samsung get their arms around the situation.

Side note on the passive 3D glasses front: After our last day at CES, we stopped by the Oakley trailer out in front of the convention center to see their 3D exhibit. I was struck by the difference a higher quality lens makes on the 3D experience (even though I was skeptical walking in; it seemed like a great story to sell more expensive glasses). This is worth paying attention to as things progress from here for 3D.

LTE will Change the Mobile World…Again

Clearly, taking mobile data from under 1 to 1.5 MBPS and low 3 digit latency levels to 12 mbps speeds with under 50 ms latency makes a dramatic difference in what content can be used (and created and shared) where. This makes lots of things possible that weren’t possible before. Which brings us to point #3:

Dual Core Driven Tablets and Smartphones will Change What’s Possible with Devices…Again
At CES, the big buzz was about the MOTO Xoom, the 10.1″ 16:9 aspect ratio Honeycomb Android tablet which will sport a dual core Nvidia processor. This processor is also going into the Droid Bionic, the next generation Moto Smartphone which will also be one of the first LTE (4G) phones to be on the Verizon network as well.
Now there are rumors that Apple’s next iPad will feature a dual core processor of its own (the A5 I believe it is named) and you can bet this will wind up in their next version of the iPhone as well.

Side Note on Apple and iPhone: There has been much speculation about when the next iPhone (IPhone 5 or iPhone 4G, take your pick of names) will be out for Verizon and AT&T. I personally think there is no reason why Apple will offer AT&T a head start with a new phone before Verizon, especially since Verizon figures to be furthest along with their 4G LTE deployment. My prediction is the iPhone Next will hit for both carriers on its normal cycle, July 2011.

Stay tuned for Part II, coming next week.

Off to CES…Stay Tuned for Further Posts!

01.4.2011

Well, it is official.  Despite the work load these days, I am going to CES this year.  While I am always interested in checking out the latest in electronic gadgetry, there is no question this year’s CES is among the most interesting we have seen in years.  A number of new tablets, Internet connected TVs and smartphones will debut, along with a few likely surprises as well (be they good or bad).

I will be doing my best to post from the show, and will also be posting video as well, so please stay tuned as I try my best to offer some fresh insight into what this year’s CES will be bringing to households and corporate IT departments in 2011.

Social Networking Going Strong Among the Very Young

12.13.2010

 A high percentage of US youth ages 8-24 uses social networking sites, according to [pdf] a new study from Harris Interactive.

Youth Favor SocNets, Facebook

Results from “YouthPulse 2010″ indicate three-quarters of 8-to-24-year-olds use a social networking site and about two-thirds (68%) spend time on a social networking site daily. Facebook is the most popular social networking site in this demographic, with 86% of 18-to-24-year-olds using Facebook and 71% of 13-to-17-year-olds doing so. More than one-quarter of 8-to-12-year-olds (28%) use Facebook, as well.

Most Youth Online 1+ Hours Per Day

Study results also show that eight in 10 8-to-12-year-olds (79%) and nine in 10 13-to-24-year-olds (88% of 13-to-17-year-olds, 90% of 18-to-24-year-olds) spend an hour or more online on a typical day.

Not surprisingly, the average number of hours spent online daily increases with age, rising from 1.9 hours among 8-to-12-year-olds to 3.5 hours among 13-to-17-year-olds, topping at 4.5 hours among 18-to-24-year-olds.

Online Music, Video Also Popular

Looking at other popular youth online activities, 70% of 13-to-17-year-olds and 18-to-24-year-olds listen to music online, while 64% of 13-to-17-year-olds and 66% of 18-to-24-year-olds watch online video.

Among 8-to-12-year-olds, 53% watch online video. However, this demographic has the largest contingent playing online games (78%, compared to 52% of 13-to-17-year-olds and 46% of 18-to-24-year-olds). Game playing is the top online activity among 8-to-12-year-olds.

Young Adults Use Cell Phones

Overall, 70% of 8-to-24-year-olds own a cell phone or smartphone, with smartphones representing 18% of this figure. During the past few years, cell and smartphone ownership has risen among tweens (26% in 2007 to 34% in 2010) and teens (65% in 2007 to 76%), but remained consistently around 90% among young adults in that timeframe.

Edison Research: Facebook Top SocNet For Youth

A substantial majority of US young adults age 12-24 use Facebook, according to a recent study from Edison Research.

“Radio’s Future II: The 2010 American Youth Study” indicates that 74% of young adults use Facebook to some degree. By frequency of use, this figure breaks down to 55% actively using Facebook and 19% occasionally using it. Of the remaining 26%, only 4% are unfamiliar with Facebook.

In comparison, only 30% of young adults use MySpace, with 12% actively using it. Much higher percentages of young adults have a MySpace account but don’t use it and have deleted a MySpace account than fit these two categories for Facebook use. Unfamiliarity is also twice as high (8%).

Twitter only has a 4% active use rate and 8% occasional use rate among young adults. However, 61% have heard of Twitter but never used it, presenting significant potential for audience growth.

Is Moore’s Law Over? Robin Harris’ Excellent Post

12.1.2010

Here is a very interesting post from Robin Harris of ZDNet on how Moore’s law (that the number of transistors on a chip doubles every 18 to 24 months, named after Intel’s Co-founder Gordon Moore) is no longer applicable.  More important, he very clearly explains what this means for computers and devices which make use of these chips in the future (which I heartily agree with).

Moore’s Wall

Robin Harris

Used to be you could buy a new computer every 3 years and get 2x the performance. Not anymore. Performance has hit a wall – or at least a steep hill. What’s this mean for the industry?

Moore’s law
Moore’s Law says that the number of transistors on a chip will double every 18 to 24 months. But Moore’s Law has been simplified to mean a doubling of performance every 18 to 24 months.

Not anymore.

Transistors ≠ performance. Yes, clock speeds have improved from the 1 MHz 6502 processor in the original Apple II to over 3 GHz today. But clock speeds have leveled out: in a third of a nanosecond light moves about 4 inches or 10 cm – and electricity is slower than light.

The link to the article is here:

http://www.zdnet.com/blog/storage/moores-wall/1195

Does Apple Really Want an Ecosystem?

11.15.2010

i have several friends who are staunch Apple fans. While my first computers I ever used were Apples, I was labeled a “PC” guy. Since I saw Bill Gates more of a benevolent technology dictator, I was comfortable with his vision of a common language called “Windows” (Speaking metaphorically, there is no such language…). Apple was always the aggressive manager of their platform and IP, and as a result, control the Apple Experience well but didn’t plant any Apple trees.

Fast forward to when the iPod came out. back then, there was a small tag line below the commercial that said, “Don’t steal music.” Otherwise, it was pretty darn open. iTunes allowed us all to rip our CDs to mp3s and would take all that old Napster content everyone downloaded like crazy several years ago (I might have…trying to remember). As an open platform, the iPod rocketed to success (88 million were sold through 2007).

Then, all of a sudden, it became harder and harder to move your music around. If you had an iPhone, it was impossible to get music on your phone without iTunes. Apple decides to not support flash on the iPhone (we all know why not; the resource hog argument is a red herring). Slowly but surely, every way to media through Apple devices is through Cupertino.

Now, we have Apple and Oracle making deals about Java. Uh-oh. Neither seems very interested in open source, so you have to ask yourself, does Apple really want an ecosystem of other companies who earn their livelihoods from Apple’s platform? Tell me if you agree or disagree and don’t forget to say why or why not. And just saying Apple’s stuff is cool is not enough (at least not in the long run).

Thanks for reading.

Dave

Windows Phone 7 is Going to Make It

11.8.2010

I know what you are saying. You are insane. But I will say it now, Windows Phone 7 is going to make it big as a smartphone and tablet platform. There are too many reasons why it will come out great in the end:

    Smooth intuitive interface
    On-screen typing that actually works better than Android (the jury is out on whether it is better than iOS
    Live content on the home screen
    The best Outlook support and integration with Office
    The Microsoft development community

Most important, it is (most likely) going to be a shootout between 3 big competitors in the smartphone marketplace; Apple iOs, Google’s Android and Microsoft’s WP7. Blackberry OS? Still too early to count them out 100% perhaps, but they have made little progress in the app dept, compared to their competitors, and so far have been uninspiring. Symbian? Well, remember I said smartphones…Also, we have coziness between MS and Nokia, so who knows.

What do you think? Will it make it? Am I smoking Microjuana? Tell me what you think.